After a stunning 2016 election defeat, Democrats have been looking for new faces and new leadership.
But one Democrat in particular has run counter to that idea: Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE.
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The former vice president has been the front-runner in some early 2020 Democratic primary polls while drawing a constant stream of news coverage. He’s scheduled to headline a series of events for Democrats running in the upcoming midterm elections.
Some Democrats are becoming increasingly convinced that the plain-spoken Scranton, Pa., native — decidedly not a fresh face for the party after serving eight years as vice president — nonetheless is the one to take on President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE in the next election.
“A fresh face is important, but Democrats need three things: someone to win the White House, someone who can elevate the rest of the ticket and a candidate who understands and appreciates governance where this president has shown disdain for it,” said Basil Smikle, a Democratic strategist who served as the executive director of the New York Democratic Party. “Biden fits that bill.”
Another top Democratic strategist said Biden makes “total sense” even up against the notion of fresh voices in 2020.
“I think a lot of us have been looking for the right leader to take on Trump in 2020 and we haven’t really found that yet in anyone,” the strategist said. “So we’re going back to what we know … even if he is labeled ‘D.C. establishment.’ I think that idea is comforting to a lot of people in the Trump era.”
Republicans have long talked about Biden as a potential threat to Trump because he’s seen as a politician able to appeal to the same blue-collar workers in Rust Belt states who turned to Trump instead of 2016 Democratic nominee Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonWhite House accuses Biden of pushing ‘conspiracy theories’ with Trump election claim Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness Trayvon Martin’s mother Sybrina Fulton qualifies to run for county commissioner in Florida MORE.
“He speaks the same language as Trump,” said one top Republican close to a GOP super PAC.
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Biden sources say the former vice president is currently mulling a White House bid and will make a decision before the end of the year. If he does decide to run, his allies say his years of experience as vice president and senator will be an advantage.
“That would clearly be a big part of his platform,” one former Biden aide said, adding that while foreign policy isn’t “top of mind … it plays to his strengths.”
“I do think his experience is what people are gravitating toward,” the former aide said.
In a juxtaposition to Trump, voters will see Biden as “a person I trust to be in the room because he’s been tested,” the former aide added. “I think he’s leading in the polls because people equate him with stability and experience.”
Biden has led recent polls of would-be Democratic candidates. A Zogby poll out last month showed the former vice president widening his lead against Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.), 26 percent to 18 percent.
Still, in an interview with MSNBC’s Al Sharpton in April, even Biden seemed to acknowledge what others in the party — including former President Obama — have said about the need to make room for new faces.
“I’m really hoping that some other folks step up. I think we’ve got some really good people.”
Some Democrats have cautioned against a Biden run. For one thing, he will be 77 in 2020.
“If we can’t come up with some new names here, we have a major problem as a party,” one Democratic fundraiser said.
Another strategist warned of Biden’s tendency to put his foot in his mouth.
“The issue for him isn’t the desire for fresh blood. The issue for him is his own mouth,” the strategist said. “One gaffe and he could raise serious doubts about himself.”
There are also some questions if Biden will be in step with a party moving toward the left. Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) will be favorites among liberals.
Still, the number of Democrats with positive things to say about the former vice president and who see him as a real contender in 2020 is striking.
“He keeps in touch with about a dozen world leaders and he is very smartly making himself an elder statesman,” said Kate Andersen Brower, the author of a new book on vice presidents, “First in Line.” “He has a unique perch having served for almost 40 years in the Senate in addition to eight years in the White House. We haven’t seen someone with that much governing experience in decades.”
Biden is keeping a high profile while promoting his book, “Promise Me, Dad: A Year of Hope, Hardship, and Purpose” — which many allies see as a campaign test drive — while focusing on helping Democrats in the midterms.
Biden is appearing in many states that would play key roles in the Democratic primary, including Florida, where he stopped as part of his book tour this week.
Smikle, the Democratic strategist, said he could already envision how Biden could compete against candidates including Sanders, Warren and Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisRand Paul introduces bill to end no-knock warrants The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook McEnany says Juneteenth is a very ‘meaningful’ day to Trump MORE (D-Calif.).
“Iowa would be a real fight, but I think he gets New Hampshire, South Carolina and other early states,” Smikle said.
But other Democrats say perhaps his best strategy lies in how he views the Democratic Party. He has repeatedly told supporters and allies that the Democratic Party does not have to choose between liberal and blue-collar ideals.
“We can’t get bogged down … in this phony debate in the Democratic Party,” he said last summer. “There is no need to choose. They are not inconsistent.”